布赖恩.阿瑟(Brian Arthur)(1989,1994)、保罗.戴维(Paul David)(1985,1992)及其他经济学家提出了一个被广泛接受的“路径信赖(path dependence)”概念,以描述经济史中的有关现象,技术锁定概念与其有相似之处。经济学中的“路径信赖”一词取自物理学和生物学,后者用它说明生物进化过程中物质体内的原始协调效应。阿瑟(1990)声称,对这种正反馈的认识创立了一种全新的经济学。这一观念甚至比“历史决定一切”的不争之断言更有说服力。“路径信赖”的支持者似乎也认为经济现象必然是历史偶然事件的俘虏。(参见利博维茨和马戈利斯,1994,1995,他们对“路径信赖”作了批评性的评价。) P17

相关阅读:
经济学的著名寓言(市场失灵的神话) / Famous Fables of Economics: Myths of Market Failures/丹尼尔·史普博/2004-2/上海人民出版社/38.0/平装/余晖等译

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